Telecommunications: Challenges and Opportunities

9/15/97


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Table of Contents

Telecommunications: Challenges and Opportunities

Today

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There’s lots going on ...

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Convergence

Moore’s law drives progress in the digital world

Transistors per die / linear scale

Transistors per die / log scale

MIPS / linear scale

Internet hosts / linear scale

Microsoft stock / linear scale

Moore’s law => Exponential progress

(Aside: Incumbent carriers have been overtaken by technology before!)

On top of technological upheaval came regulatory upheaval

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Computer Industry 1982

Computer Industry 1996

Telecom Industry 1996

Telecom Industry Future?

Governor’s Telecommunications Policy Taskforce (April 1996)

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A regional imperative

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The challenge

Les Vadasz, Intel Corporation San Jose Mercury News, March 20 1997

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Charles Ferguson, MIT & Berkeley “The Internet, Economic Growth, and Telecommunications Policy,” April 1997

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Reed Hundt, FCC IEEE HotChips Conference, August 26, 1997

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Why?

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Clearly, we must move rapidly towards a truly competitive marketplace for the local loop

But it’s not simple!

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Some principles

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Recap of principles

Some tests of any proposed action

Suggested actions (and inactions!)

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The Digital State -- August 1997 Progress & Freedom Foundation, with IBM’s Institute for Electronic Government

“A Digital Report Card”

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Summary

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The Technology Alliance

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Complaints per 100 lines, 1996

Days to close a complaint, 1997

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LEC capital investment (per Charles Ferguson)

Author: Ed Lazowska

Email: lazowska@cs.washington.edu

Home Page: http://www.cs.washington.edu/homes/lazowska/lazowska.html

Other information:
Telecomm presentation Technology Alliance legislative retreat September 1997